Question

Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?

Resolved :Yes

27 comments27

Total Forecasters219

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

median 80.0%mean 74.5%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Infectious disease

List of Ebola outbreaks

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Infectious disease

List of Ebola outbreaks

Marburg is an especially scary virus. How scared should we be of Rwanda's outbreak?

NPR Online News•Oct 2, 2024

US Deploys Experts to Deal With Deadly Ebola-Like Outbreak

Newsweek•Oct 2, 2024

How deadly eye-bleeding 'Marburg virus' could reach UK in weeks due to 'silent spread' of disease that can go unnoticed for up to a month

Daily Mail•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?