Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will New York City’s period of consecutive rainy weekends end?

Resolved :Nov 5, 20232023-11-05
2
22
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction2023-11-05 (2023-11-05 - 2023-11-08)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
...
2023-11-05 02:15
2023-11-05 21:08
2023-11-08 06:00
0.6%

What was the final result?Nov 5, 2023

Community Baseline Score
77.5
Community Peer Score
33.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
IY
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Environment & Climate
2023 Leaderboard
New York City
National Weather Service

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