Question
Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters402
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
98.9
Community Peer Score
1.3
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2023
Closes:Oct 7, 2024
Resolves:Oct 7, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 29, 2023
When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?
30 Oct 2025
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
6%
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
11%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2023
Closes:Oct 7, 2024
Resolves:Oct 7, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 29, 2023
When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?
30 Oct 2025
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
6%
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
11%