Question

Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?

Resolved:No
Community Prediction0%2.5%5%Aug 08Aug 12Aug 16Aug 20Aug 24Aug 28Sep 01Sep 05Sep 09Sep 13Sep 17Sep 21Sep 25Sep 29Oct 03now
Total Forecasters402
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
98.9
Community Peer Score
1.3
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2023
Closes:Oct 7, 2024
Resolves:Oct 7, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 29, 2023

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