Question

Will New Delhi experience a "Very Unhealthy" or worse air quality index on at least four of the seven days for the week starting October 29?

Resolved :Yes99%

10 comments10

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

80.9

Community Peer Score

5.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Environment & Climate

2023 Leaderboard

New Delhi

Air quality index

Trendy NYC neighborhood invaded by ‘Greenpoint Stink’ — and locals have savage take on promise it’ll soon smell better: ‘Biggest bulls–t’

New York Post•Dec 16, 2024

Map Reveals World's Most Polluted Tourist Hotspots

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

The UN Climate Action Summit was a disappointment

Vox•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

34%

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

10%

Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?

14.7%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Environment & Climate

2023 Leaderboard

New Delhi

Air quality index

Trendy NYC neighborhood invaded by ‘Greenpoint Stink’ — and locals have savage take on promise it’ll soon smell better: ‘Biggest bulls–t’

New York Post•Dec 16, 2024

Map Reveals World's Most Polluted Tourist Hotspots

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

The UN Climate Action Summit was a disappointment

Vox•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

34%

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

10%

Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?

14.7%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will New Delhi experience a "Very Unhealthy" or worse air quality index on at least four of the seven days for the week starting October 29?

Make a Prediction

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?

Comments

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?

Will the International Maritime Organization permit more sulphur oxide pollution by 2030?