Question

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction3.66k (1.81k - 6.7k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>20k
community	1.812k	3.658k	6.705k	0.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	1.812k	—
median	3.658k	—
upper 75%	6.705k	—
Upper bound
>20k	0.5%	—

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Nov 11, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2041

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

Self-driving car

Automation

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