Question

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction3.71k (1.79k - 7.04k)

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weight:

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20k

...

1.785k

3.71k

7.037k

0.6%

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Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

Self-driving car

Automation

US to require passenger vehicles to sound alarms if rear passengers don’t fasten their seat belts

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

NHTSA finally releases new rules for self-driving cars — but there’s a twist

Verge•Dec 21, 2024

Feds clear the way for robotaxis without steering wheels and pedals

TechCrunch•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will car crash deaths in the US be below 40,000 for 2024?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-04-17

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

2047-06-24

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

Self-driving car

Automation

US to require passenger vehicles to sound alarms if rear passengers don’t fasten their seat belts

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

NHTSA finally releases new rules for self-driving cars — but there’s a twist

Verge•Dec 21, 2024

Feds clear the way for robotaxis without steering wheels and pedals

TechCrunch•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will car crash deaths in the US be below 40,000 for 2024?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-04-17

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

2047-06-24

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How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

Make a Prediction

Will car crash deaths in the US be below 40,000 for 2024?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

Comments

Will car crash deaths in the US be below 40,000 for 2024?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

Will car crash deaths in the US be below 40,000 for 2024?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

Will car crash deaths in the US be below 40,000 for 2024?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?