🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Macky Sall step down as president of Senegal at or before the currently scheduled end of his term?

Resolved :Yes99%
7
32
Total Forecasters85
Community Prediction99% (98% - 99.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
66.6
Community Peer Score
43.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
kqr
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Geopolitics
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Macky Sall
Ousmane Sonko
Amnesty International
2012 Senegalese presidential election
Senegal

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