MetaculusM

Question

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

9

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction2029-10-21 (2029-03-01 - 2029-11-20)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	Mar 2029	Oct 2029	Nov 2029
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Mar 2029	—
median	Oct 2029	—
upper 75%	Nov 2029	—

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 11, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2030

United States District Court for the District of Columbia

United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida

2020 US presidential election

Georgia (U.S. state)

New York (state)

Washington, D.C.

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 11, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2030

United States District Court for the District of Columbia

United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida

2020 US presidential election

Georgia (U.S. state)

New York (state)

Washington, D.C.