Question
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction
Sep 2029
(Aug 2027 - Nov 2029)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Aug 2027 | — |
| median | Sep 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Nov 2029 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 14, 2023
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 14, 2023