Question

Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters114

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 5.5%

Authors:

RyanBeck NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Chemical Weapons Convention

White phosphorus munitions

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

87.3%

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

86%

Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Chemical Weapons Convention

White phosphorus munitions

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Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

87.3%

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

86%

Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?

0.1%