Question

When will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction2025-06

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2027-11

...

2024-12

2025-06

2026-04

5.2%

Authors:

SamFreedo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

95%

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

88%

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

90%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SamFreedo

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel warns next phase of Hezbollah war will begin 'imminently' as Lammy urges Brits to leave Lebanon immediately

Daily Mail•Oct 1, 2024

Israel has begun ground attacks on Hezbollah inside Lebanon, says US

Guardian•Oct 1, 2024

Israel says ‘next phase’ of war with Hezbollah in Lebanon to ‘begin soon’

Al Jazeera•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

95%

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

88%

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

90%

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When will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel?

Make a Prediction

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

Comments

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?