Question

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

31 comments31

Total Forecasters155

Community Prediction86%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 86%

median 86.0%mean 80.7%

Authors:

Doryphore AlyssaStevens RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

International Criminal Court

State of Palestine

West Bank

Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court

Netanyahu’s aggressive strategy brings political success and raft of scandal

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

Gaza: Hamas, Israel committed war crimes, claims independent rights probe

•Nov 14, 2024

Israel, Hamas accused of war crimes in new UN report

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

88%

Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024?

19%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

96%

Comments

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Authors:

Doryphore AlyssaStevens RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

International Criminal Court

State of Palestine

West Bank

Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court

Netanyahu’s aggressive strategy brings political success and raft of scandal

CNN•Nov 12, 2024

Gaza: Hamas, Israel committed war crimes, claims independent rights probe

•Nov 14, 2024

Israel, Hamas accused of war crimes in new UN report

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

88%

Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024?

19%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

96%