Question

What will be the US Consumer Sentiment for May 2024?

Resolved :69.1

7 comments7

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction77.4

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<50

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>90

...

0.4%

72.83

77.39

80.9

4.9%

What was the final result?69.1

Community Baseline Score

29.0

Community Peer Score

12.6

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Pulse Tournament

Economy & Business

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

United States

University of Michigan

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

60%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

12%

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Pulse Tournament

Economy & Business

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

United States

University of Michigan

U.S. Equities Surge In Best Election Year Since 1936

Forbes•Oct 8, 2024

Inflation is down from pandemic highs, but economic worries persist

NBC•Oct 10, 2024

U.S. Inflation Likely Cooled Again as Economy Strengthens

Newsweek•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

60%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

12%