Question
What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024?
Resolved :28.227.8Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction27.8 (27.2 - 28.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
community<23
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>30
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
27.17
27.77
28.36
1.4%
What was the final result?28.2
Community Baseline Score
58.6
Community Peer Score
5.1
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jun 4, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jun 4, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch