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Question

How many cases of vaccine-derived poliovirus will there be between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024 in the Democratic Republic of Congo?

Resolved :6105
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction105 (73.8 - 144)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%73.84
median104.8
upper 75%144.1
Upper bound
>3004.4%

What was the final result?6

Community Baseline Score
-26.8
Community Peer Score
20.8
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Jun 5, 2024

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