Question

Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes

14 comments14

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction85%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

27.9

Community Peer Score

25.4

median 85.0%mean 83.3%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Pulse Tournament

How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

2032-07-07

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