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Question

When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?

Resolved :Above upper bound2023-12-15
Total Forecasters54
Community Prediction2023-12-15 (2023-12-15 - 2023-12-15)

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QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%>15 Dec 2023
median>15 Dec 2023
upper 75%>15 Dec 2023
Upper bound
>2023-12-1598.1%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
127.2
Community Peer Score
31.3
Authors:
Opened:Nov 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 15, 2023
Resolves:Dec 16, 2023

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