M

Question

When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?

Resolved :Above upper bound2023-12-15
5
13
Total Forecasters54
Community Prediction2023-12-15 (2023-12-15 - 2023-12-15)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2023-12-15
...
...
...
...
>2023-12-15 00:00
>2023-12-15 00:00
>2023-12-15 00:00
98.1%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
127.2
Community Peer Score
31.3
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Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Natural Sciences
2023 Leaderboard
Iceland
Southern Peninsula (Iceland)
US Geological Survey
Hydropower
North American Plate
Blue Lagoon (geothermal spa)
Reykjavík
Grindavík
UTC±00:00

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