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Question

Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?

4
4
Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction0%

Make a Prediction

community: 0.2%
median 0.2%mean 1.4%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
NMorrisonNathanpmYoungCato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Democratic Party (US)
2024 Elections (US)
Republican Party (US)

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