M

Question

Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?

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Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction0.1%

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50%
community: 0.1%
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median 0.1%mean 1.0%
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Authors:
NMorrisonNathanpmYoungCato
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Democratic Party (US)
2024 Elections (US)
Republican Party (US)

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