Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Representative George Santos be expelled from the US. House of Representatives before January 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes87%
3
24
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction87% (80% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 87%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
7.6
Community Peer Score
20.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Kaleem
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
United States

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