Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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M

Question

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

Resolved :Yes93%
7
15
Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction93% (86% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
4.1
Community Peer Score
19.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Kaleem
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Law
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
International Criminal Court
Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court
Israel Defense Forces
Cabinet of Israel
Israeli system of government
Gaza Strip
Hamas
Genocide
Crimes against humanity

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