Group

What percent of US adults will report having received an updated COVID booster vaccine for the 2023-2024 season on the following dates?

23 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Date	resolution
December 30, 2023	19.2
March 30, 2024	22.5

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>70

0.1%

18.75

19.71

20.82

0.1%

What was the final result?19.2

Community Baseline Score

101.6

Community Peer Score

8.2

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

March 30, 2024

December 30, 2023

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

US deaths are down and life expectancy is up, but improvements are slowing

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

46.3

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

Comments

? comments