Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What percent of US adults will report having received an updated COVID booster vaccine for the 2023-2024 season on the following dates?

6
43
23 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Dateresolution
community
<5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>70
0.1%
18.75
19.71
20.82
0.1%

What was the final result?19.2

Community Baseline Score
101.6
Community Peer Score
8.2
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 15
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
Virology
Public health
COVID-19
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology
Genetics
Moderna
COVID-19 vaccine

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