M

Question

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
Community Prediction0%1.8%3.6%5.4%7.2%9%Dec 30Jan 03Jan 07Jan 11Jan 15Jan 19Jan 23Jan 27Jan 31Feb 04Feb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 24Feb 28now
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.4
Community Peer Score
3.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 1, 2023
Closes:Feb 29, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2024

Comments

? comments

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy