Question

Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026?

Resolved :Yes

75 comments75

Total Forecasters179

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.6

Community Peer Score

0.6

median 99.0%mean 97.0%

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Artificial Intelligence

Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

0.1%

Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

0.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Artificial Intelligence

Read the casual emails between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that kicked off OpenAI

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

Sam Altman once told Elon Musk he worried Google Deepmind was trying to 'kill it' before it launched by poaching top talent

Business Insider•Nov 18, 2024

It’s been one year since The Blip.

Verge•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

0.1%

Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

0.4%