Question

Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction2.5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2.5%

median 2.5%mean 4.8%

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

0.4%

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

0.1%

Will Sam Altman Use Microsoft Teams before 2026?

32%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sam Altman thanks Elon Musk for helping to initially bankroll OpenAI — and says now is a great time for tech founders

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Greg Brockman, a key Sam Altman ally, returns to OpenAI following an exodus of top executives

Business Insider•Nov 13, 2024

Read the casual emails between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that kicked off OpenAI

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

0.4%

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

0.1%

Will Sam Altman Use Microsoft Teams before 2026?

32%