Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will SpaceX successfully land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge by February 28, 2016?

Resolved :No61%
40
26
Total Forecasters78
Community Prediction61% (53% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 61%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-104.6
Community Peer Score
16.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Technology
Falcon 9
SpaceX reusable launch system
SpaceX

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