Question

Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?

Resolved :No30%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters133

Community Prediction30% (15% - 41%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

14.5

Community Peer Score

11.7

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Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Technology

2016-2017 Leaderboard

Engineering

Energy

Solar power

Environmental science

Solar power in the United States

Wind power in the United States

Renewable energy in the United States

Solar physics

Physics

California's Green Dream Faces a Reality Check

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

UK wind power hits a record high as it provides 70% of Britain’s electricity, promising data reveals

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Biden just unveiled America’s ambitious new climate goal. Trump will assuredly undo it

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?

72%

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What percentage of primary energy in the United States will come from solar in 2031?

9.02

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Technology

2016-2017 Leaderboard

Engineering

Energy

Solar power

Environmental science

Solar power in the United States

Wind power in the United States

Renewable energy in the United States

Solar physics

Physics

California's Green Dream Faces a Reality Check

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

UK wind power hits a record high as it provides 70% of Britain’s electricity, promising data reveals

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Biden just unveiled America’s ambitious new climate goal. Trump will assuredly undo it

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?

72%

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What percentage of primary energy in the United States will come from solar in 2031?

9.02

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Will more than 80% of the new US electricity Generation Capacity in 2016 come from solar and wind?

Make a Prediction

Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What percentage of primary energy in the United States will come from solar in 2031?

Comments

Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What percentage of primary energy in the United States will come from solar in 2031?

Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What percentage of primary energy in the United States will come from solar in 2031?

Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What percentage of primary energy in the United States will come from solar in 2031?