Question

Will Sweden join NATO before 2025?

Resolved :Yes99%

30 comments30

Total Forecasters167

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

20.6

Community Peer Score

1.1

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Dec 10, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

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Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

25%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Dec 10, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Geopolitics

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

NATO expands in Europe: Will the fears of “frontline” countries come true?

Strategic Culture•Jan 27, 2025

NATO Updates on $42 Billion Ukraine Pledge

Newsweek•Jan 30, 2025

Does Switzerland still play a significant role in global geopolitical balances?

Strategic Culture•Feb 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

25%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%