Group

How many police officers will be murdered in Mexico in the following years?

4 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Year	25th	median	75th
2024	409 ...	443 ...	491 ...
2025	391 ...	421 ...	454 ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

<250

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>650

...

0.4%

408.9

442.9

491.2

1.1%

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

2024

2025

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Four police officers killed in Mexico’s most violent state

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

2 more Mexican soldiers killed by an improvised landmine, after 2 died earlier this week

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Mexico arrests more than 100 local police officers for various abuses and offenses

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

110k

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Four police officers killed in Mexico’s most violent state

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

2 more Mexican soldiers killed by an improvised landmine, after 2 died earlier this week

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Mexico arrests more than 100 local police officers for various abuses and offenses

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

110k

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

629

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

How many police officers will be murdered in Mexico in the following years?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

Comments

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?

How many mass shootings will be reported in the United States in the following years?