Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What percentage of the vote will Abdel Fattah El-Sisi win in the first round of the 2023 Egyptian Presidential election?

Resolved :89.695.6
2
5
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction95.6 (91.4 - 98.1)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
91.36
95.6
98.12

What was the final result?89.6

Community Baseline Score
54.7
Community Peer Score
12.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
rationalTrader
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Elections in Egypt
National Elections Commission (Egypt)
Egypt
2018 Egyptian presidential election

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