Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the majority of OpenAI's Board of Directors leave the Board before December 1, 2023?

Resolved :Yes93%
6
18
Total Forecasters59
Community Prediction93% (89% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
75.6
Community Peer Score
8.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
Ilya Sutskever
Adam D'Angelo
Silicon Valley
OpenAI
Sam Altman
Microsoft

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