Question

Will the November 2023 Israel-Hamas humanitarian pause be extended?

Resolved :Yes

10 comments10

Total Forecasters98

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

4.0

Community Peer Score

10.3

median 99.0%mean 96.4%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

93%

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

16%

Comments

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