Question

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%

21 comments21

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-104.7

Community Peer Score

-6.7

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Nov 23, 2023

Closes:

Nov 1, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 8, 2024

Law

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Administrative Procedure Act

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Nov 23, 2023

Closes:

Nov 1, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 8, 2024

Law

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Administrative Procedure Act

Government Takes Corporate Transparency Act Arguments To The Supreme Court

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

In Whiplash Maneuver, Court Rules Beneficial Ownership Information (BOI) Reporting Requirements Are On Hold

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

Fifth Circuit Makes A Huge Mess Out Of Beneficial Ownership Reporting

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal in the United States in 2025?

25%

Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?

53%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

70%