M

Question

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

Resolved :No1%
Total Forecasters73
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.6
Community Peer Score
3.8
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2023
Closes:Dec 14, 2023
Resolves:Dec 15, 2023

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