Question

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

Resolved :No1%

18 comments18

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

97.6

Community Peer Score

3.8

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Nov 22, 2023

Closes:

Dec 14, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 15, 2023

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