M

Question

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

Resolved :No
Total Forecasters73
Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.6
Community Peer Score
3.8
median 1.0%mean 1.4%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

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