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Novel Pathogen in China November 2023?

25M Killed by Pandemic 2022 to 2031

50%
community: 5%
The question "Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?" resolves.
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