Group

Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years?

25 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2026

2025

2024

Make a Prediction

Year		My Prediction		Me
2026	28.3%

2025	7%

2024	no

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Delaware

Form 990

Musk’s amended lawsuit against OpenAI names Microsoft as defendant

TechCrunch•Nov 15, 2024

OpenAI’s tumultuous early years revealed in emails from Musk, Altman, and others

TechCrunch•Nov 16, 2024

Read the casual emails between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that kicked off OpenAI

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?

90%

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

0.1%

Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

0.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Delaware

Form 990

Musk’s amended lawsuit against OpenAI names Microsoft as defendant

TechCrunch•Nov 15, 2024

OpenAI’s tumultuous early years revealed in emails from Musk, Altman, and others

TechCrunch•Nov 16, 2024

Read the casual emails between Elon Musk and Sam Altman that kicked off OpenAI

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?

90%

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

0.1%

Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

0.4%