Question

Will 20 million people follow a new, AI-created religion by the end of 2035?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction3% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Dec 5, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 7, 2036

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

51%

Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

57%

If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Dec 5, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 7, 2036

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Old post that claims women will be having more sex with ROBOTS than men by 2025 resurfaces ahead of New Year's

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

The World's Worst Financial Catastrophe Could Happen Soon | Opinion

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

The promise and warning of Truth Terminal, the AI bot that secured $50,000 in Bitcoin from Marc Andreessen

TechCrunch•Jan 31, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

51%

Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

57%

If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?

60%