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What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election?
7
11 comments
11
29 forecasters
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Labour Party
Green Party of England and Wales
Reform UK
Conservative and Unionist Party
Scottish National Party
Liberal Democrats
Make a Prediction
Party
resolution
Conservative and Unionist Party
23.7
Green Party of England and Wales
6.4
Labour Party
33.7
Liberal Democrats
12.2
Scottish National Party
2.5
Reform UK
14.3
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
0.2%
21.25
23.49
24.25
0.1%
What was the final result?
23.7
Community Baseline Score
38.9
Community Peer Score
-1.1
Additional Scores
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Background Info
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
UK general election
European Union
Conservative Party (UK)
Green Party of England and Wales
Brexit
Liberal Democrats (UK)
United Kingdom
Scottish National Party
Brexit Party
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Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
UK general election
European Union
Conservative Party (UK)
Green Party of England and Wales
Brexit
Liberal Democrats (UK)
United Kingdom
Scottish National Party
Brexit Party
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
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News Match
Elon Musk considers funding Nigel Farage’s populist party, a move that could shake up UK politics
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Dec 20, 2024
Did democracy survive the 2024 global election marathon?
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Dec 23, 2024
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Dec 21, 2024
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