Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025?

9
8
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction19% (4.8% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 19%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
DerMannOhneEigenschaften
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Chinese AI Chips
AI in China
Computing and Math
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Shanghai
China

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