🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?

10
2
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction30% (15% - 36%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
DerMannOhneEigenschaften
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Chinese AI Chips
AI in China
Computing and Math
Technology
Semiconductor fabrication plant
Market capitalization
China
TSMC

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