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Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

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AMD

Google

Nvidia

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Candidates		My Prediction		Me
AMD	2%

Google	2%

Nvidia	2%

Authors:

DerMannOhneEigenschaften

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

59%

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Authors:

DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

59%

MetaculusM

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Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Comments

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?