Question

Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2023?

Resolved :No20%

34 comments34

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction20% (17% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

48.0

Community Peer Score

20.5

Authors:

kqr

Opened:

Dec 6, 2023

Closes:

Dec 16, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2024

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Environment & Climate

Dreaming Of A Warm Christmas?

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

Weather tracker: Nordic countries set for unseasonably mild Christmas

Guardian•Jan 29, 2025

Christmas travel forecast shows rain, snow likely leading to delays for millions across US

New York Post•Jan 31, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

89%

Will European soil moisture be below the reference period for at least 3 out of the 4 years between 2022 and 2025?

42%

What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

14.4

Comments

? comments