Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks?

9
36
14 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Week Endingresolution
community
<0.1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>6
0.1%
2.019
2.863
3.882
5.5%

What was the final result?3.6

Community Baseline Score
47.2
Community Peer Score
-0.5
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 7
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
2024 Leaderboard
Virology
Health forecasting
Public health
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Human orthopneumovirus
United States
Respiratory syncytial virus vaccine

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