Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks?

4
30
15 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Week Endingresolution
community
<300
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>30k
0.1%
7.603k
9.618k
12.05k
0.5%

What was the final result?9.93k

Community Baseline Score
69.7
Community Peer Score
3.1
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 6
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
2024 Leaderboard
Public health
United States
Medicine
Influenza
Virology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology

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