Question

Will any additional Republican candidates for president drop out before 2024?

Resolved :Yes50%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction50% (35% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.8

Community Peer Score

3.3

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Nov 30, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Democrats Search for Their Own Trump

American Conservative•Mar 4, 2025

The fight to replace Ron DeSantis in Florida is on, marked by jockeying with Trump

NBC•Mar 5, 2025

Trump is bulldozing some Republicans’ priorities. They should be nervous

Independent•Mar 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

46%

Will Ron DeSantis become US president by 2029?

Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Nov 30, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Democrats Search for Their Own Trump

American Conservative•Mar 4, 2025

The fight to replace Ron DeSantis in Florida is on, marked by jockeying with Trump

NBC•Mar 5, 2025

Trump is bulldozing some Republicans’ priorities. They should be nervous

Independent•Mar 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

46%