Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

Will Biden's 538 approval rating be above the following values on the following days?

3
7
17 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 9

Make a Prediction

Date and valueMe
2023 Dec 31st, ≥ 40%
no
2024 Jan 31st, ≥ 40%
no
Resolved Dec 31, 2023
Community Baseline Score
51.3
Community Peer Score
52.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NathanpmYoungsaulsmunn
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
FiveThirtyEight
Joe Biden

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