Question

Will the Executive Order on the Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be revoked or materially amended before November 2028?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction75%

Make a Prediction

community: 75%

median 75.0%mean 76.7%

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

30%

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

30%

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

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Will the Executive Order on the Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be revoked or materially amended before November 2028?

Make a Prediction

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?

Comments

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?