Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024?

Resolved :01.15
4
14
Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction1.15 (0.429 - 3.11)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100
...
...
...
...
0.4292
1.146
3.111
0.5%

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score
190.6
Community Peer Score
22.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeckPhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Global Pulse Tournament
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
South Korea
Korean Demilitarized Zone
North Korea

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