Question

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction30% (7% - 33.3%)

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50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Tajikistan

Kyrgyzstan

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Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

24%

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Tajikistan

Kyrgyzstan

China Urges 'Stability' in Syria as Victorious Uyghur Rebels Threaten Xi

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

News Analysis: Russian general’s assassination in Moscow: Chilling new phase in Ukraine war?

•Dec 18, 2024

Russia Suffers Deadliest Day of War So Far: Kyiv

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

24%

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%

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Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Make a Prediction

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Comments

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?