Question

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

median 20.0%mean 24.1%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

territorial disputes in the South China Sea

•Nov 11, 2024

What is the South China Sea dispute?

•Nov 11, 2024

Territorial Disputes in the South China Sea

•Nov 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

67.4%

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

territorial disputes in the South China Sea

•Nov 11, 2024

What is the South China Sea dispute?

•Nov 11, 2024

Territorial Disputes in the South China Sea

•Nov 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

67.4%