Question

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction20% (10% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

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Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

China is getting ready to take on Trump

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

66%

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

China is getting ready to take on Trump

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

66%

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Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

Comments

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?